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Fundamental Analysis

AUDUSD Testing Major Level

Risk Rally Helping AussieThe uptick in risk appetite this week linked to the reversal in Fed expectations has helped AUD rally sharply. With the market now anticipating that the Fed will shift into...

GBP Rallies As UK GDP Dips Less Than Forecasted

GDP Dips in May… But Less Than ExpectedThe latest set of UK economic data today was a mixed bag. On the headline GDP reading, the UK economy was seen contracting in May, falling 0.1% against the prior...

Gold Soars As USD Falls Following CPI Slide

Gold RallyingThe fall in USD this week has helped gold prices recover sharply.  With US inflation seen cooling further last month, US rate hike expectations have plummeted. While a hike is still...

USDJPY Plunges On Fresh US Inflation Fall

US CPI Falls AgainThe US Dollar has come under heavy selling pressure today on the back of yesterday’s US inflation data. On the yearly figure, CPI was seen cooling to 3% from 4% prior, below the 3%...

The US June CPI Strips Dollar of any Support as Odds of a Hawkish Fed Outcome Plummet

The US June CPI report left the dollar entirely defenseless, causing the US currency index to plummet to nearly 100 level:As seen in the chart, this is the lowest level since April 2022, meaning the...

Crude Breaking Out Ahead of EIA Inventories Release

Oil RallyingOil prices are trading firmly higher into the middle of the week with crude futures expanding on last week’s gains. The rally has seen futures trading higher by around 12% off the June...

BOC Meeting Opens Up Bearish NZDCAD Risks

BOC Up NextThe Bank of Canada meeting today is drawing plenty of attention with the BOC widely expected to hike rates by a further .25% on the back of last month’s unexpected rate hike. The BOC...

RBNZ Pauses After 12 Consecutive Hikes

RBNZ Holds Rates SteadyFollowing 12 straight months of rate hikes, the RBNZ held monetary policy unchanged at the July MPR overnight. Sitting at 5.5%, the RBNZ noted that policy would remain unchanged...

Can EURUSD Breakout On US CPI?

USD Downside RisksToday’s US CPI release will be pivot for FX markets near-term. While a further .25% hike from the Fed is widely expected as the base case scenario for the July FOMC, expectations...